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Budget Thoughts from Alan Essig, Georgia Budget and Policy Institute

I apologize to Alan Essig of the Georgia Budget and Policy Institute for the delay in posting this interview. It occurred in my blue period.

I am in my red period this week and have posted several recent interviews with legislators and Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle and want to make sure that Alan’s interview is available as a counterpoint.

In the interview Alan points out that in trying to find new money the legislature should consider tracking the cost in lost revenues of tax exemptions, deductions and credits and evaluate whether or not they should be eliminated or modified. Sounds like good business sense to me.

For example, wouldn’t you like to know how much money the State lost in revenue due to the tax credit they enacted in 2008, up to $7,500 for contributions to private school scholarship funds? Not only is the credit a travesty, but I will bet you that the only people that have taken advantage of it are rich Republican, maybe a legislator or two.

In any event, listen to the interview.

 
 Alan Essig, Georgia Budget and Policy Institute [31:12m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download (431)

The Georgia Budget!

Alan Essig gives us his thoughts on the Georgia budget. The Georgia Budget and Policy Institute seeks to improve the fiscal responsibility of our state government. That’s quite a job these days!

I must admit I was surprised to find out that the 2008 Supplemental Budget, which the legislature passed and the Governor signed, doesn’t balance. According to Alan, it exceeds the Governor’s revenue estimates by some $65 million. When the legislature passed the supplemental budget they used parliarmentary procedure to force the Governor to either sign or veto the budget within 6 days. That meant the Governor would have to make a decision before the legislature adjourned. Apparently, the Governor did not want a nasty fight like they had last year and signed the supplemental budget even though it did not balance.

Alan was highly complimentary of Gov. Perdue and the fact that he had managed to accummulate more than $1 billion in reserve funds for the State. For those of you that don’t know, these reserve funds are like a savings account that the State can utilize when there is a budget shortfall. Each year the governor is required to make an estimate of anticipated revenue. The legislature is required to limit State spending to the revenue estimated by the Governor which results in the balanced budget required by the State Constitution. However, by being conservative in estimating revenue, the budget is kept low and if revenues exceed the governor’s estimate, the excess revenue is placed in the reserve fund, money the State collected, but did not spend.

Both the House and the Senate are considering tax cuts. In the House it is the remnant of the Speaker’s Great Tax Plan, which now targets eliminating the propety tax on automobiles. This would result in a budget shortfall of about $700 million in revenues. Alan suggests that it be made up with an increas in the cigarette tax of $1 per pack. Currently, Georgia collects a cigarette tax of about $.35 per pack, one of the lowest in the country.

In the Senate it is Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle’s proposal to cut the income tax by 10%. According to Alan, the Senate’s tax cut would result in a $220 - $230 million budget shortfall. I might add that in a recent interview with Casey Cagle, he indicated that a 10% cut in income taxes would stimulate the economy enough to generate the additional revenues. Alan says state income tax cuts do not stimulate the economy. That only happens, if it happens, with federal tax cuts because the federal government doesn’t have to live with a balanced budget.

Alan also agrees with Governor Perdue that both the Senate and House tax cuts are irresponsible, particularly when we may be heading toward a recession. Alan points out that Georgia ranks 49th and 50th among the states in low taxation and expenditure. That sounds great, but it also means we are lowest among the states in spending for education and health care.

Alan points out that 75% of the state budget is spent on education, Peachcare and Medicaid and prisions. With our high moral standards, Georgia loves to put people in jail for non-violent crimes and keep them there a long time. In fact, Georgia is second only to that Republican bastion of Texas when it comes to the percentage of the population behind bars.

And those prsioners get free health care. The older the prison population becomes, the sicker they get and the more our budget is going to be devoted to prisons, all to the detriment of education and health care for our children and elderly and poor.

What does the future hold? Alan says the housing crisis has not affected Georgia as much as other states, even though we are still one of the highest states in foreclosure rates. Tax cuts at this time jeopardize our economic future. According to Alan, the problem for Georgia’s future is to figure out how we are going to pay for the level of education, the infrastructure and transportation we need to support a population growth to 14 million people. Thus far, our annual budget does not take into consideration what we need to provide for and plan for the future, but is limited to looking at what government cost last year and what can we do to not increast the budget this year.

Sounds like a recipe cooked up by politicians seeking re-election, rather than leaders seeking to safeguard our future and that of our children. So, what else is new?

 
 Alan Essig, Georgia Budget and Policy Institute [31:35m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download (777)

Alan Essig on the Speaker’s Property Tax Reform Proposal

Alan Essig of the Georgia Budget and Policy Institute is my go to guy when I want to try to get to the bottom of something that involves taxes or budgets. In this interveiw Alan comments on Speaker Glenn Richardson’s proposal to eliminate the property tax.

The curious thing is that there is no substance to the proposal, it’s just all talk–at least right now–and that is what bothers me. You would think that when it came to something this important, there would be an effort to give everyone enough time and information to make a reasonable decision. Alan said he would like no less than 3 to 6 months to study any proposal and run the numbers. My bet: he won’t get that much time and neither will anyone else, including those guys we elected to represent us.

Alan says that every state in the union has a property tax. For Georgia to think it can become the first to eliminate it in one fell swoop, seems irresponsible to me. Alan mentions the fact that a few years ago one of those northern states, Michigan, I think, enacted sweeping rollbacks in property taxation and almost went bankrupt when there was a blimp in the economy.

Also, the State levies only a small property tax, like .5 mil. The majority of the property tax is levied and controlled by local cities, counties and school boards. It is where they get their operating budgets, their power. Eliminating property taxes is going to eliminate a lot of local power. Now why would a state legislator, even one serving as Speaker, be in such a hurry to eliminate the foundations of local power and transfer that power to the State, particularly the leaders thereof? I understand all the local governments and their organizations, like GMA, oppose the Speaker’s plan.

The real question is where is the additional money going to come from? Property taxes account for about 8 to 10 billion in tax collections. So where are you going to get that kind of money? As I understand it, the Speaker initially proposed to just eliminate all (or most) exemptions to the sales tax. According to Alan, two of those exemptions need to be kept: (1) governmental purchases, and (2) business to business purchases. And these two exemptions account for $5 billion in exemptions. The point: if you keep just these two exemptions in place, there is no way the sales tax can make up the tax revenue lost by the elimination of the property tax.

Now if I were planning a budget, I would conclude game over, you can’t eliminate property taxes and make up the difference in sales taxes. But there he is, Speaker Richardson, going around the state pumping up the landed gentry and making this sound like it is a walk in the park–a tax exempt park, no doubt.

There is only one thing to be accomplished by the elimination of property taxes. Rich folk that own a lot (and I mean a lot) of property will get a tax break. The rest of us that don’t own tons of rental property or commercial property or anything much more than our homes, that just work at a job everyday for a living, that have kids and buy everything on the shelves, will pay more in taxes–sales taxes.

Let me predict the future. The Speaker (more likely, someone else at his direction) will drop the bill to eliminate the property tax a week or so before the 2008 legislature begins. The Speaker will flex his muscles, threaten a few recalcitrants, and ultimately his power will make sure the proposal (whatever it is) sails thru the House with little or no hearings and none worth a damn. Then, it’s over to the Senate where the question will be whether or not Lt. Governor Casey Cagle (or some other Republican leader with the guts to “just say no”) is man enough to tell the Speaker to go back to the country club and kill this kind of cram it down your throat leglislative initiative. You have my vote Casey!

Think I am nuts! Look down the road to the 2010 gubernatorial elections. Will it be the Speaker who single handledly eliminated the property tax and saved 500 Georgians a ton of money versus the Lt. Gov. who protected Georgians from the selfish impulses of power and kept the property tax in place?

 
 Alan Essig, Georgia Budget and Policy Institute [29:45m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download (427)