Tag Archive for '2008-elections'

Erickson: Election Eve Forecasts!!

Erick Erickson is in D.C. to monitor the election for RedState. In this interview Erick offers election eve insight into what is tight and what is not. Worth a listen, I assure you.

In an effort to get this posted, I will forgo a lot of commentary. Here are the highlights–as I heard them:

Voter turnout: 60%! I thought it was supposed to be above 75%. Early voting always favors the Democrats, but the Republicans will be at the polls in the closing days.

McCain can pull it out if he wins Pennsylvania. It is closer than we think.

Chambliss is vulnerable, Martin could win. Runoff will hurt Chambliss. Criticizes Chambliss’ campaign manager, Tom Perdue.

Barrow (D-12th), Broun (R-10th) and Kingston (R-1st) are safe wins.

Jim Marshall (D-8th) is in a tight race. Voter turnout for Obama in the district will help him. Close!

Erick thinks 2010 will be the year to pick off Marshall, after the Democrats have been in power for 2 years!

In the General Assembly, the Republicans may lose 5 or 6 seats in the House. If they lose more than that, it may impact whether or not Glenn Richardson is Speaker again. The election for Speaker is scheduled for November 10th, quick, quick, before anyone has a chance to gang up on Glenn.

Barrow Receives Endorsement from Savannah Morning News!

On Friday, The Savannah Morning News endorsed John Barrow for re-election to Congress from the 12th District. This is the first time the newspaper has endorsed Barrow.

12th District voters should send incumbent John Barrow back to Washington.

TWO-TERM CONGRESSMAN John Barrow is a centrist Democrat who generally votes according to the needs of Georgia’s 12th District, not the will of liberal Democratic leaders in Congress.

His record is largely pro-business, pro-growth, pro-natural security, pro-Savannah port and pro-Second Amendment – positions in tune with the majority of constituents he represents. For this reason and others, we recommend that district voters keep the Savannah legislator in the U.S. House for another term.

Mr. Barrow is one of those lawmakers who has matured and grown while in public office. In 2004, when he knocked off Republican incumbent Max Burns, there was considerable concern the freshman legislator would be a rubber stamp for the high-tax, anti-business wing of his party.

Fortunately, that didn’t happen. Indeed, he showed his independence by voting to protect gun manufacturers from frivolous lawsuits, which helped earn him this year’s endorsement of the National Rifle Association’s political action committee. In 2006, he won a close race in a rematch with Mr. Burns, whom this newspaper endorsed at that time.

But for this election, we believe Mr. Barrow has earned a return trip to Washington. We support his candidacy.

Put simply, he has proven his worth and his mettle. He understands that the road to prosperity and a better life in this part of Georgia is paved with jobs and paychecks, not handouts and giveaways. He knows that the nation must have the necessary tools to protect itself against terrorists. He correctly realizes that the prescription for energy independence includes safe and responsible drilling as an ingredient.

This may come as a surprise, but Mr. Barrow recently earned a higher score than U.S. Rep. Jack Kingston, R-Savannah, from the pro-business U.S. Chamber of Commerce. On the chamber’s latest scorecard on key votes, Mr. Barrow earned an 80 percent (out of 100), tying him with U.S. Rep. Tom Price, R-Roswell, at the top of Georgia’s delegation.

Mr. Kingston, who’s solid on economic issues, got a 65. (Mr. Kingston’s cumulative score during his 16 years in office is 87 percent; Mr. Barrow’s score is 74 percent.)

Liberal Democrats babble that groups like the chamber are simply arm-twisters for the Republican Party. But they are the lawmakers who are out of touch, as bashing business only cripples job creation and growth at a time this country sorely needs it.

That’s why Mr. Barrow is one of several dozen conservative and moderate House Dems known as “blue dog Democrats” who don’t march in lockstep with Speaker Nancy Pelosi. (Southern Democrats once were known as yellow-dog Democrats – party loyalists who’d vote for a yellow dog if it had a “D” after its name. Blue dogs are those who have been choked blue by liberal party leaders.) This bloc influences legislation in a positive way within the majority party.

Mr. Barrow broke ranks with Ms. Pelosi and voted to support continued funding for U.S. troops in Iraq and against mandated timetables for withdrawal. We criticized his opposition to the surge, however. And we remain deeply critical of his support of a bill, which Barack Obama supports, that will do away with the secret ballot process to unionize workplaces. Such a law, which we hope Republican senators have enough votes to filibuster, will spell doom for any economic recovery.

But on balance, Mr. Barrow has been good for the 12th District. He fairly reflects this politically balanced area, which stretches from Savannah on the coast to Augusta upriver and includes many smaller communities and rural areas in between. Republican opponent John Stone, a former aide to Max Burns and the late Charles Norwood, is well-versed on the issues. But we are concerned that his protectionist slant on trade could hurt Savannah’s port and the region.

Conversely, Mr. Barrow has been solidly behind the port. He could play a key role in getting needed federal funds for its deepening. This blue dog can hunt, and voters should ship the incumbent back to the House next Tuesday.

Drifting With the Grift After the Primaries!

There are times when there are just not enough hours in a day. This is one of those days or weeks or months or years, but I just had to do whatever it took to get this interview with James Williams (alias GriftDrift) posted. You will just have to listen to it to appreciate two country boys shooting the breeze about the state of politics after the primaries. From the Senate race and the Democratic runoff between Jones and Martin, to Rep. David Ralston’s announcement that he plans to challenge the Dark Knight for his position as Speaker of the House, we drift into the national scene with Obamaitis and end up casting our lot with T. Boone Pickens’ energy plan which is only 30 years late. If you could make as much money speculating about politics as oil, James and I could buy the Middle East and give the oil away.

Thanks James.

Interview with Douglas Schoen, Democratic Political Strategist and Author of "The Power of the Vote"

Douglas Schoen, Democratic Political Strategist and Author of "The Power of the Vote" discusses his life in politics, the future of the Democratic Party and the 2008 presidential campaign.

Interview with Erick Erickson, Republican Strategist and Red State Blogger

Erick Erickson, Republican Strategist and Red State Blogger, comments on the Scooter Libby verdict, provides insight into firing of the U. S. Attorneys and gives early predictions on the 2008 presidential race.